Al-Jazira vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Jazira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 1
ALS
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
ALN
0 - 2
AJA
36%
25%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
UMM
2 - 2
AJA
28%
22%
50%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 0
AIN
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 3
AJA
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
ALI
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PAY
0 - 1
EST
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
UMM
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
SAI
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FOO
0 - 0
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |