Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Gulf Heroes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
11º
10º
33
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
76% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 52 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 15 |
16º
|
83% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
17º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Jazira Al Hamra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
GUL
1 - 1
JAZ
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
JAZ
0 - 2
ALU
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
TAA
2 - 2
JAZ
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
JAZ
0 - 4
UNI
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CIT
0 - 2
JAZ
21%
21%
58%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Gulf Heroes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
GUL
2 - 1
ALD
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GUL
3 - 3
GUL
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
GUL
0 - 2
ALU
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TAA
0 - 1
GUL
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
GUL
1 - 2
UNI
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |