Al-Jaish vs Nasaf Qarshi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ALJ
4 - 0
ALW
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
KAZ
0 - 1
ALJ
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ALW
1 - 2
ALJ
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
ALJ
1 - 3
ALJ
47%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ALJ
2 - 1
JAB
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
NAS
4 - 0
ALA
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
NAS
1 - 0
QIZ
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
KAZ
0 - 0
NAS
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
NAS
2 - 0
NEF
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FKL
0 - 0
NAS
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |