Al-Jaish vs Al-Horriya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
HOT
1 - 0
ALJ
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
ALJ
0 - 2
ALW
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ALW
1 - 1
ALJ
35%
29%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ALJ
1 - 1
TIS
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
ALJ
1 - 2
ALW
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Horriya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
ALH
0 - 1
TAL
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
TIS
2 - 1
ALH
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ALH
0 - 1
ALI
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ASS
2 - 0
ALH
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FOU
3 - 1
ALH
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |