Al-Jaish vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
ALE
1 - 1
JAI
34%
29%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
JAI
0 - 0
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
JAI
2 - 2
HEL
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ENP
4 - 1
JAI
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
JAI
1 - 0
ALT
59%
26%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
HEL
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
ZAM
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
HEL
1 - 0
ALA
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ISM
0 - 1
ALA
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2008 |
ALA
4 - 0
ALT
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |