Al-Ittihad vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
53.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALA
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
ALQ
2 - 4
ALI
40%
24%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
ALH
2 - 7
ALI
20%
23%
57%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
ALI
4 - 2
AIN
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
AIN
1 - 1
ALI
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 1
ATP
50%
23%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
23%
23%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 2
FFL
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
GOI
3 - 0
SAO
36%
24%
40%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAO
35%
24%
42%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |