Al-Ittihad vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALI
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
NAJ
1 - 2
ALI
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ALI
5 - 0
OHO
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ALH
4 - 1
ALI
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALA
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ALW
1 - 1
NAJ
46%
24%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
NAJ
1 - 2
ALI
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DHA
0 - 1
NAJ
18%
21%
61%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
NAJ
1 - 2
HAJ
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
NAJ
1 - 2
ALR
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |