Al-Ittihad vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
ALH
4 - 2
ALI
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALT
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 2
ALF
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
ALW
2 - 1
ALI
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALI
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
ALS
0 - 3
NAJ
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
MUH
3 - 0
NAJ
34%
24%
43%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALN
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
ALA
5 - 1
NAJ
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 2
NAJ
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |