Al-Ittihad vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALI
56%
23%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALN
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 1
ALR
81%
13%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
ALS
0 - 4
ALI
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALA
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
ZOB
1 - 1
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
PAY
1 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
PAS
58%
22%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
FAJ
4 - 1
EST
40%
28%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |