AFC Champions League Elite Last 16
Global 4-1
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 3
ALA
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
AIN
1 - 1
ALI
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALI
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
TRA
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
ALR
0 - 3
ALI
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 3
ALS
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALI
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 2
ALS
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 2
ALS
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
ALS
2 - 1
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |