Al-Ittihad vs Al-Raed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
6º
2º
14
8º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
49 | 71 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 47 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ALF
1 - 1
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALI
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 4
ALI
4%
11%
85%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALN
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 4
ALI
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ALR
0 - 2
DHA
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
ALR
1 - 1
JAB
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ALH
3 - 2
ALR
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALT
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ALR
3 - 1
ALO
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |