Al-Ittihad vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
NAJ
68%
18%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 3
ALI
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 1
ALI
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ALN
5 - 0
ALT
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALN
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
NAJ
2 - 1
ALN
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALS
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
ALN
4 - 1
ANS
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |