Al-Ittihad vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
ALI
5 - 2
ALH
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
NAJ
2 - 3
ALI
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
ALW
1 - 3
ALI
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 2
ALR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
ALQ
3 - 3
ALI
25%
25%
51%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
ALQ
0 - 2
ALN
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
ALN
3 - 2
NAJ
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2009 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALH
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2009 |
ALS
3 - 2
ALN
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |