Al-Ittihad vs Al-Kholood analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
6º
2º
22
12º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
49 | 71 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 47 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
DHA
2 - 1
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALS
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
ALI
4 - 1
ALR
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ALF
1 - 1
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALI
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Kholood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
KHO
2 - 1
ALR
32%
26%
41%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
ALF
1 - 0
KHO
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
KHO
1 - 0
ALA
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 3
KHO
59%
23%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
KHO
0 - 3
ALQ
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |