Al-Ittihad vs Al-Khaleej analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
6º
3º
4
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
8 | 62 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 61 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 52 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 50 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 47 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 47 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 44 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 39 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 39 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 32 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 32 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
18º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
35% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALH
3 - 1
ALI
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
7 - 1
ALW
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALT
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KHO
0 - 1
ALI
29%
27%
43%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ALQ
1 - 1
ALI
40%
25%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Khaleej
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 0
ALF
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 0
ALK
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 1
ALS
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 1
ALK
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 2
ALK
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |