AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 1
ALR
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALA
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
ZOB
3 - 4
ALI
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 1
ZOB
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALI
4%
11%
85%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ALH
4 - 2
ABH
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
ALH
0 - 1
ALA
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
ALA
2 - 4
ALH
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
UDI
2 - 3
ALH
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2019 |
ADS
2 - 2
ALH
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |