Saudi King's Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
BAY
0 - 0
ALI
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
HAJ
0 - 0
ALI
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALN
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ALH
2 - 1
ALS
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALH
3 - 3
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NAJ
0 - 2
ALH
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALH
39%
25%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 5
ALH
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |