Al-Ittihad vs Al-Ahli SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
6º
2º
38
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 74 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
|
1º
|
49 | 73 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 60 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 44 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
91.5% | 21.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 0
ALJ
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 1
ALQ
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALI
29%
26%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
4 - 1
ALK
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALA
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 2
ALA
21%
20%
58%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 3
ALA
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALH
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
WAS
0 - 2
ALA
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |