Confederation Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
ITT
1 - 0
ALA
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PIR
0 - 0
ITT
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ITT
2 - 1
ASS
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ITT
2 - 0
AST
64%
23%
13%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ITT
3 - 2
ROY
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CSS
0 - 0
TRI
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
0 - 1
TRI
33%
29%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 3
TRI
30%
29%
42%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 0
ASY
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ZAN
2 - 3
TRI
11%
20%
70%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | +1 |