Al-Ittifaq vs Fleetwood United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
10º
11º
33
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 44 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 37 |
3º
|
97% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 29 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 24 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 22 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 17 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittifaq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 0
ITT
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ITT
2 - 3
UNI
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 1
ITT
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ITT
0 - 2
GUL
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
MOO
1 - 1
ITT
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Fleetwood United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FLE
3 - 0
LAL
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
6 - 1
LIW
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ALH
1 - 2
FLE
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 0
REG
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 6
FLE
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |