Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
7º
7º
5
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 61 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 61 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 57 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 56 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 55 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 54 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 53 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 52 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 50 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 50 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 47 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 44 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 41 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 36 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 32 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 30 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 29 |
18º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
25% | 35.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ettifaq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALI
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALA
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALI
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
SUQ
3 - 3
ALI
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
OVI
3 - 2
ALI
48%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALN
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALA
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 4
ALN
37%
26%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALR
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 4
ALH
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |