Al-Hilal SFC vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
11%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SAD
0 - 2
ALH
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ALH
2 - 2
OLM
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 0
ALH
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALQ
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
ALW
2 - 4
ALH
28%
25%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
OLM
2 - 3
IST
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
IST
0 - 0
SAD
20%
22%
58%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
IST
2 - 0
RAV
90%
7%
3%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VAK
0 - 1
IST
6%
12%
82%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
IST
3 - 2
REG
89%
8%
3%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |