Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Riyadh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
96
1º
6º
1º
35
7º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
96 | 96 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 4
ALH
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALR
0 - 4
ALH
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALF
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ABH
1 - 3
ALH
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Riyadh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALA
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ALR
3 - 0
ALR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALR
0 - 4
ALI
21%
25%
55%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 2
ALR
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ALR
1 - 0
ALW
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |