AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALF
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ALR
0 - 5
ALH
19%
23%
58%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALH
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ALH
4 - 2
ABH
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
ALH
0 - 1
ALA
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
DHA
2 - 1
ALI
8%
19%
73%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALI
30%
24%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 1
ALT
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALH
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 1
ALR
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |