Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Fayha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
2º
1º
16
13º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 71 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 47 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
91% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 22% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALH
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
ALH
5 - 0
ALS
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KHO
2 - 4
ALH
25%
26%
50%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALH
11%
17%
71%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALH
3 - 1
ALI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Fayha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
ALW
2 - 2
ALF
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALR
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
4 - 0
ALB
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 0
ALF
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 5
ALR
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |