Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Fateh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
2º
1º
10
12º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 71 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 47 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
91% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 51.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ALO
0 - 5
ALH
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
RAP
13 - 0
ALH
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALI
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ALH
3 - 2
ALR
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
ALH
3 - 0
GHA
64%
18%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Fateh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALW
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 2
ALF
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALR
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 0
ALF
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALK
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |