Al Hilal United vs Al-Ittifaq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
8º
8º
11
5º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 44 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 37 |
3º
|
97% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 29 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 24 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 22 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 17 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Hilal United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LAL
2 - 1
ALH
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALH
1 - 2
REG
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ALH
1 - 2
FLE
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 3
ALH
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ALH
1 - 0
ITT
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Ittifaq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ITT
1 - 1
FLE
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 0
ITT
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ITT
2 - 3
UNI
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 1
ITT
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ITT
0 - 2
GUL
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |