CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-0
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Stade Malien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
52.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
STA
0 - 0
ALH
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALA
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ALH
0 - 3
ALH
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALH
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 2
ALH
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
STA
0 - 0
ALH
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
STA
3 - 0
OLY
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
STA
4 - 0
SPR
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SPR
3 - 2
STA
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ASN
0 - 1
STA
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |