CAF Champions Last 16
Global 4-5
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Séwé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
ALH
0 - 0
ALA
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 2
ALH
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SEW
4 - 1
ALH
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
ALH
0 - 0
ALM
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
ALH
2 - 0
ELA
63%
19%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Séwé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SEW
3 - 1
BAS
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SEW
4 - 1
ALH
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ASE
0 - 2
SEW
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
SEW
2 - 2
JCA
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SEW
3 - 0
HOR
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |