CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Ismaily analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALA
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
ALM
0 - 1
ALH
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ALH
4 - 1
AFR
28%
25%
48%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALH
2 - 1
KHA
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALH
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ismaily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
ISM
0 - 0
HEL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
ELS
0 - 0
ISM
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
ISM
2 - 0
GHA
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 0
ISM
10%
18%
72%
|
75 | 30 | 45 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
EEE
1 - 0
ISM
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |