CAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2007 |
ALH
3 - 2
ALM
39%
25%
37%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ALH
5 - 0
JAZ
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALH
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
ALH
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALA
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | -2 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CSH
1 - 3
ETO
51%
29%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ETO
1 - 0
CAB
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
AIT
2 - 0
ETO
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
JEN
1 - 2
ETO
37%
33%
30%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ETO
0 - 0
FAR
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |