CAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 0-3
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALA
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RCA
0 - 0
ALH
82%
13%
6%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
ALH
1 - 2
ENY
25%
27%
48%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
COT
2 - 0
ALH
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
HAY
2 - 3
ALH
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 1
ESP
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 0
ALG
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 0
WYD
66%
20%
13%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
WYD
2 - 2
ESP
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
ALA
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |