CAF Champions Last 16
Global 8-1
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs DFC8 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
ALH
2 - 1
ALM
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
ALR
0 - 3
ALH
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DFC
0 - 3
ALH
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | -3 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ALH
4 - 0
JAZ
64%
20%
17%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALH
2 - 1
ALA
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
DFC8
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DFC
0 - 3
ALH
17%
21%
62%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LES
2 - 1
DFC
86%
11%
4%
|
13 | 66 | 53 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
DFC
1 - 0
LES
17%
24%
59%
|
12 | 65 | 53 | +1 |