CAF Champions Last 16
Global 5-1
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Big Bullets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALH
2 - 0
WAD
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MER
1 - 3
ALH
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
KMK
1 - 0
ALH
19%
23%
59%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALN
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
OBA
0 - 0
ALH
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Big Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BUL
2 - 2
FOM
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FOM
0 - 1
BUL
22%
26%
52%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BLA
0 - 3
BUL
55%
25%
21%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BUL
1 - 0
MOY
52%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AZT
0 - 2
BUL
51%
27%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |