Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
ALH
3 - 0
HAY
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
ASE
1 - 0
ALH
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALM
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
ALH
2 - 1
ASE
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2007 |
MER
0 - 2
ALH
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 2
ALA
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
ALA
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2007 |
ALA
3 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
ASE
0 - 1
ALA
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALH
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |