Sagesse vs Al Nejmeh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HIK
0 - 1
ALN
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HIK
0 - 2
ALA
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAF
3 - 0
HIK
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HIK
1 - 7
ALA
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 1
HIK
42%
25%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Al Nejmeh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 3
ALN
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 0
RAC
46%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 2
ALN
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 1
TRI
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALN
2 - 1
SAL
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |