Al-Gharafa vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
KHO
1 - 3
GHA
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ADS
2 - 1
GHA
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 1
GHA
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ADS
2 - 2
GHA
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
WAK
3 - 3
GHA
37%
26%
38%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
AHL
1 - 0
UMM
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
UMM
0 - 5
QAT
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
UMM
0 - 1
ADS
7%
17%
75%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
AHL
2 - 0
UMM
57%
22%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
ALS
1 - 1
UMM
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |