Al-Gharafa vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
GHA
1 - 0
JAI
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
GHA
2 - 2
AHL
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 1
GHA
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WAK
1 - 0
GHA
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GHA
0 - 0
ALK
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
UMM
1 - 1
ALK
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
UMM
0 - 0
LEK
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
2 - 1
UMM
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UMM
1 - 3
AHL
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
JAI
0 - 0
UMM
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |