Al-Gharafa vs Sepahan Esfahan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
GHA
2 - 4
WAK
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAA
1 - 3
GHA
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 0
GHA
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
GHA
3 - 1
SAI
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
UMM
2 - 3
GHA
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Sepahan Esfahan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 3
SEP
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SMK
3 - 2
SEP
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 0
GHA
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SEP
3 - 2
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 0
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |