Al-Gharafa vs Erbil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
GHA
0 - 1
ALQ
59%
21%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
ALQ
1 - 0
GHA
40%
24%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
GHA
4 - 2
RAY
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
GHA
0 - 1
SAA
53%
23%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 2
PAK
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
DUH
1 - 2
ARB
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 5
PAK
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
PAK
2 - 0
ARB
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
ALQ
1 - 1
ARB
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 1
GHA
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |