Al-Gharafa vs Al-Wakrah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
11º
3º
17
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 46 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 42 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 42 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 36 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 30 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 27 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 27 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
11º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
39.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
KHO
3 - 0
GHA
23%
22%
56%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
GHA
44%
24%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
3 - 1
ARA
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ADS
1 - 1
GHA
47%
23%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 2
WAS
26%
21%
53%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Wakrah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
WAK
3 - 1
AHL
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 1
WAK
26%
24%
50%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
WAK
3 - 0
UMM
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 3
SAA
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
QAT
2 - 1
WAK
30%
26%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |