Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
8º
6º
44
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
WAK
0 - 4
GHA
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 2
GHA
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
GHA
2 - 2
RAY
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
QAT
5 - 0
GHA
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
ADS
3 - 0
GHA
50%
22%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Sadd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAA
3 - 1
ARA
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAA
2 - 0
UMM
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAA
1 - 0
MAR
67%
18%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
SAA
36%
24%
40%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 2
SAA
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |