Al-Gharafa vs Al-Markhiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
3º
18
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
QAT
4 - 4
GHA
31%
25%
45%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GHA
1 - 4
BAY
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
GHA
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GYO
2 - 1
GHA
9%
14%
77%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
RAY
4 - 1
GHA
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Markhiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
RAY
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IST
3 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
AHL
1 - 0
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
SAI
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 3
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |