Al-Gharafa vs Al-Ahli SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 1
GHA
44%
22%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 0
GHA
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
WAK
2 - 4
GHA
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
GHA
12%
19%
69%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 1
UMM
61%
21%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 0
WAK
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
RAY
4 - 1
AHL
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 9
SAA
22%
21%
57%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 4
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 1
AHL
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |