Al-Fayha vs Al-Riyadh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
12º
18º
12º
7
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
8 | 62 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 61 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 52 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 50 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 47 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 47 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 44 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 39 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 39 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 32 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 32 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
18º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
2.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 29.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Fayha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 0
ALF
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 5
ALR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 4
ALN
37%
26%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 0
ALF
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KON
1 - 0
ALF
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Riyadh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALR
1 - 2
ALR
60%
22%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 3
ALH
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ALR
3 - 1
KHO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ALW
3 - 3
ALR
56%
23%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 1
ALR
25%
23%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |