Al-Fayha vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
13º
18º
14º
41
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 71 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 47 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 55% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
22% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Fayha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 0
ALF
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KON
1 - 0
ALF
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ALF
4 - 0
REI
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 0
ALF
30%
24%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALF
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALR
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 4
ALH
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 2
ALN
41%
23%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 0
ALN
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
ALN
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |