Al-Fayha vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
12º
18º
12º
5
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 61 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 61 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 60 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 55 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 55 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 54 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 54 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 53 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 53 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 44 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 42 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 32 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 27 |
18º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
3% | 46.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Fayha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 0
ALF
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KON
1 - 0
ALF
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ALF
4 - 0
REI
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 0
ALF
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALF
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALR
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 4
ALH
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 2
ALN
41%
23%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 0
ALN
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
ALN
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |