AFC Champions League Elite Last 16
Global 0-3
Al-Fayha vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Fayha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 2
ALF
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 2
ALH
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
ALK
3 - 0
ALF
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 4
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ALT
4 - 1
ALF
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ALN
0 - 2
ALH
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ALN
6 - 0
IMI
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 4
ALN
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 5
ALN
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALI
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |