Al-Fateh SC vs Al-Riyadh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
12º
18º
16º
28
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 74 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 73 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 60 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 44 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
51% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Fateh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 0
ALF
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALK
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 1
ALF
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ALR
2 - 1
ALF
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 1
KHO
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Riyadh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 0
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALN
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
DHA
2 - 2
ALR
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALS
34%
25%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |