Al-Fateh SC vs Al-Ahli SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
17º
4º
4
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 61 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 61 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 60 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 55 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 55 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 54 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 54 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 53 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 53 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 44 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 42 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 32 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 27 |
18º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
25% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Fateh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALQ
3 - 0
ALF
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 2
ALK
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
ALF
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
ALS
3 - 2
ALF
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 1
ALH
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALO
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALA
43%
22%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 3
ALA
42%
23%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALA
22%
21%
57%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
GHA
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |