Al-Duhail vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
1º
1º
6
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
10 | 41 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 37 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 37 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 34 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 33 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 31 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 25 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 25 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 20 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 19 |
12º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
42% | 2% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
22% | 1% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
13% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 79% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Duhail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ADS
4 - 0
RAY
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 6
ADS
38%
24%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ALH
2 - 1
ADS
71%
16%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ADS
2 - 1
ALI
45%
22%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
STU
2 - 2
ADS
27%
21%
52%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
UMM
3 - 2
ALS
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 1
UMM
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TEL
4 - 1
UMM
42%
23%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
UMM
0 - 3
WAS
14%
18%
69%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 3
UMM
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |